Making It To 2030

Our species has some strange instinctive beliefs. One of those irrational beliefs is that not looking at a threat prevents it from happening. It won't hit you if you don't look at that truck or avalanche. We know that doesn't work personally, but it has much more power on the group's mind. This is a case of Fast Mind/Slow Mind. Without getting crossways with Daniel Kahneman, the announcement of a threat produces an initial fast reaction determining the validity of that threat based partially on the timing of when it may occur. This is the root of our dominant refusal to address the rapidly escalating climate disaster. We have been warned about this steadily for thirty years or longer but with everything in the future.

The 2030 date is arbitrary but represents what many knowledgeable people feel is now a critical point on our path. When does the momentum of the climate catastrophe begin to accelerate collapse recognizable by most of the population? The social pattern of seeing this as non-threatening has become ingrained as a distant future event. This also is an excellent example of the difficulty of statistical analysis in Slow Thinking or any human thinking. We don't get things with two or more variables that increase geometrically. So, for many people, the risk is misunderstood.

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